Friday, October 25, 2013

Guest Blogger Moon: BvW ep 6

Hey all, haven't watched the episode yet, so Moon agreed to write the blog this week! Scores will be updated later, after I've watched the episode.





Vytas is a bona fide social genius. Thrust into one of the more hopeless tribal swap situations in Survivor history, he somehow managed to convince his tribemates to vote out a solid-footed comrade instead of the obvious choice – him. He had to get a gaggle of girls to like and trust him. He had to pacify fears of him joining his brother for a late-game power alliance. He had to dislocate what should have been a peaceful – if temporary – alliance, and he had one day to do it all. Somehow, Vytas pulled survival out of this desperate situation. If and when he wins the game, he’ll look back on those 24 hours as his finest moment.

As Vytas noted, his younger brother is more accomplished and dependable. Stronger. Better-looking. But it is Vytas who has burrowed his way through five hundred yards of ugliness Andy Dufresne-style to freedom, while Aras could be gone next episode and has no hope of winning a final vote over his brother. Along the way Vytas has forged relationships with every remaining player in the game without ostracizing or alienating anyone. Not only would he surely oust his brother at final tribal, but it’s hard to imagine any castaway overcoming him at that point.

The second-shrewdest player in the game is Tyson, who might be more similar to Vytas than his brother. Tyson is playing just like Vytas, only with a tad less humility and a pinch more abrasiveness. A monumental Tyson/Vytas power battle could be on the horizon.

Always cunning, never vulnerable, Tyson has deemed Gervase to be his #1 henchman. It’s a wise move – unobjectionable Gervase figures to swim deep into the nether regions of this season. Gervase claims to be playing a craftier game than his first go-round, but it’s hard to imagine him upending the power players.

Tina is playing an elegant brand of second-coming Survivor. Her game is pleasant, subdued and innocuous. Even the arrival of her daughter was gracefully managed to bring as little attention as possible. While Tina/Katie could easily have been identified as a must-be-destroyed power couple, they got through their reunitement without attracting a smidge of suspicion. This figures to be a duo headed deep into the merge.

Monica, Hayden, and Caleb are the lone wolves. Strong players alike, their challenge isn’t to further accentuate their resumes, but to ingratiate themselves into the future-merged tribe. As the suddenly-eloquent Brad Culpepper noted, sometimes a loved one is more of an anchor than a shield. Each will have to convince the jury they’re more than muted versions of their lovers.

Laura B. is an unexciting piece of driftwood with an upside of one vote at the final tribal council. Ciera could maybe get two.

The one wild card lurking is John, a likable (if gullible) and brawny player with an outside shot at a run upon return from Redemption. It’s high time for the return of an RI player; John has the tools to maneuver his way into the final three and catch a few votes if he gets there.

Power Rankings:

1.      Svelte
Only the strong remain. Vytas and Tyson are two serious players, and we found out this episode what happens if you mess with Monica.

2.      Mind Under Matter
Who wants to date someone who can’t even make the merge? Even if Hayden cuts ties with Kat, the Tina/Katie duo could make a deep run together.

3.      51st State
This team has three power players; trouble is, one’s on RI, one’s a loose cannon without a shield/anchor, and one was earmarked for doom in the “next time on…” tester.

4.      AhhhhhFUCKthat
It’s easy to poke fun at this team – their best player is on RI, Laura B is involved, Bag is involved, and they have no studs. But they do have the most points and the most remaining Survivors. F That isn’t drawing dead. 











Thursday, October 17, 2013

Blood v. Water: Episode 5

Congrats to the n00bs for their first win! Do you think it had anything to do with Brad being voted out the last episode? I do. I think they actually are feeling more like a team & that they all have to pull their weight now. Also helps that the challenge didn't involve a puzzle though!

Good duel too... or as we will be calling it from now on: mêlée. This mêlée was the long sought-after & hoped-for show-down between Candice and Brad. John happened to be there too, but he seems like too nice a guy to ever get mad at anyone, so there was no rivalry there. The results: not what Candice had hoped for, but probably a better result than Candice & Brad being left on RI together. And now RI is so beastly it's going to be hard for anyone to survive!

The Teams:

AhhhhFUCKthat: 46.5 pts
1. John (3 pts)
2. Laura B. (16 pts)
3. Candice (4.5 pts)
4. Gervase (18 pts)
5. Ciera (5 pts)

51st State: 42 pts
1. Aras (18 pts)
2. Rupert (0 pts)
3. Marissa (3 pts)
4. Caleb (5 pts)
5. Laura M. (16 pts)

MooMe: 38.5 pts

1. Vytas (5 pts)
2. Tyson (18 pts)
3. Monica (14 pts)
4. Brad (1.5 pts)
5. Rachel (0 pts)

Mind Under Matter: 38 points
1. Katie (5 pts)
2. Hayden (5 pts)
3. Colton (-2 pts)
4. Kat (14 pts)
5. Tina (16 pts)

- red = n00b tribe
- blue = returning tribe
- pink = on Redemption Island


Power Rankings:

Complete Dreckitude: ahhhhFUCKthat - still the worst in the land, especially with the new info that no one likes Laura B. & Candice going home. John may get back from RI, but even if he does it seems inevitable that he'll get voted out again almost immediately.

Repellant: 51st State - Doug & Bri are down to just 2 players in the game & their puzzle master on RI. Aras is being identified more & more as a threat... things are starting to look shaky in the 51st State.

Terrrrr: Mind Under Matter - May not be the smartest or strongest team in the game. But what they lack in skills they make up for in numbers. I am the only person left with 4 people in the game (not on RI), and Tina continues to impress. So far she's barely winning, but winning pretty much all the time. If she's doing that on purpose, my respect for her is through the roof!

Decent: MooMe - Still a decent team. I think that Aras' analysis of Monica is spot-on, and anyone left in the game without their loved one needs to start pitching themselves as a vote-for-sale ASAP. Tyson's playing a strong game, but I wouldn't be surprised if he votes Vytas out as soon as he gets the change.  


Douche of the Week:

Although definitely a humbler guy, gotta go with Brad for his awful pre-mêlée speech.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Blood v. Water: Episode 4

Blog is extremely late so I will summarize all my thoughts here:

1. Brad = yay! You got what you deserved
2. Caleb = yay! FINALLY someone made that play. I'm glad it paid off bud
3. Bag = yay! Way to pay off your debts instead of fleeing to Europe in exile


The Teams:

AhhhhFUCKthat: 42 pts
1. John (1.5 pts)
2. Laura B. (18 pts)
3. Candice (4.5 pts)
4. Gervase (18 pts)
5. Ciera (0 pts)

51st State: 39 pts
1. Aras (18 pts)
2. Rupert (0 pts)
3. Marissa (3 pts)
4. Caleb (0 pts)
5. Laura M. (18 pts)

MooMe: 34 pts
1. Vytas (0 pts)
2. Tyson (18 pts)
3. Monica (16 pts)
4. Brad (0 pts)
5. Rachel (0 pts)

Mind Under Matter: 28 points
1. Katie (0 pts)
2. Hayden (0 pts)
3. Colton (-2 pts)
4. Kat (14 pts)
5. Tina (16 pts)

- red = n00b tribe
- blue = returning tribe
- pink = on Redemption Island

Power Rankings:

Complete Dreckitude: ahhhhFUCKthat 
Repellant: Mind Under Matter
Terrrrr: 51st State 
Decent: MooMe - congrats Moon & Melissa, you're the first ones to achieve having an overall solid team! 


Douche of the Week:

Colton... I wish! I'll go with Candice this week.


Sunday, October 6, 2013

Colton is such a loser. I am very disappointed in my supposed "strategist." It's clear that strategy was never something he actually wanted to do; he just wanted to back-stab & create drama. Overall him quitting will be extremely beneficial to the returning tribe since he contributed nothing to challenges & brought down morale. But while they emerged from their loss as a stronger team, the n00bs only continued to shoot themselves in the foot by voting out John. Granted, John represented himself really poorly over the last 2 episodes and probably deserved to be voted out due to his untrustworthiness. But losing a strong male on top of their strongest females (will Brad now realize that the women on his tribe weren't "all the same"?) is only going to hurt their chances of winning future challenges.


Bag Reminder:

I want Left Hand Milk Stout. Moon, what is your preferred beverage?


The Teams:

AhhhhFUCKthat: 29 pts
1. John (0 pts)
2. Laura B. (13 pts)
3. Candice (3 pts)
4. Gervase (13 pts)
5. Ciera (0 pts)

51st State: 29 pts
1. Aras (13 pts)
2. Rupert (0 pts)
3. Marissa (3 pts)
4. Caleb (0 pts)
5. Laura M. (13 pts)

MooMe: 24 pts
1. Vytas (0 pts)
2. Tyson (13 pts)
3. Monica (11 pts)
4. Brad (0 pts)
5. Rachel (0 pts)

Mind Under Matter: 22 points
1. Katie (0 pts)
2. Hayden (0 pts)
3. Colton (-2 pts)
4. Kat (11 pts)
5. Tina (13 pts)

- red = n00b tribe
- blue = returning tribe
- pink = on Redemption Island

Power Rankings:

Complete Dreckitude: ahhhhFUCKthat - AndBag's team now consists of 2 strong players on RI & the 3 weakest players left in the game (except for Katie). Can anything save this team? I seriously doubt it. 

Repellant: 51st State - Aras is arguably the favorite to win the season right now. Unfortunately, I think Marissa will be ousted at the next RI, though - John & Candice are going to be extremely tough to beat, especially because they'll be helping each other out during the challenges. I don't expect much from Caleb any time soon; he doesn't seem big on strategy & doesn't have a loved one ally anymore. Laura M. has been too under-the-radar to make any judgments at this time.


Terrrrr: Mind Under Matter - Colton's decisions were devastating to my team this week. In my defense, I selected him believing that his appendicitis medevac from his last season was legitimate; had I known the truth I wouldn't have drafted him! I appreciated Jeff's complete disgust with him & the fact that he didn't try to convince him to stay in the game. Hayden is emerging as a canny strategist amongst the n00blets & Tina's in a strong alliance. Kat may still prove to be a point-earner, though, so it's not a complete disaster.


Least Horrible: MooMe - Brad is playing an obvious & remedial game that will probably come back to bit him soon. But Monica & Tyson are solid returnees & Vytas is playing a strong game among the n00bs. I think this is currently the most well-rounded team, though that could change at any moment!


Douche of the Week:

Colton!

Friday, September 27, 2013

Blood v. Water: Episode 2

Colton's back! The man is an bullying, manipulative drama queen, but he also brings a level of excitement to the game that I'm happy to see. It seems like his tribe won't take his shit, but I think their Anti-Drama Alliance may lose power the longer they have to live with him. After all they are not a strong group for returnees, either physically or mentally -- probably they're the weakest in Survivor history. They are making giant n00b mistakes for a team of pros. I've never heard of a returning player not wanting to strategize until they lose an immunity challenge. Terrible decision!

Brad's "all women are the same" comments continue to rankle me, but I think the male alliance's decision to vote out Rachel was strategically smart. I'm pretty surprised they've lost 2 challenges in a row. They seem like the stronger & more physical group, but I guess inexperience is working against them. I don't think their losing streak will last much longer, though.


Last Season's Side Bets:

Where's my 6-pack, Bag? I want Left Hand Milk Stout. :)


The Teams:

Michal "Mind Under Matter": 22 points
1. Katie (0 pts)
2. Hayden (0 pts)
3. Colton (8 pts)
4. Kat (6 pts)
5. Tina (8 pts)

AndBag "ahhhhFUCKthat": 17.5 pts
1. John (0 pts)
2. Laura B. (8 pts)
3. Candice (1.5 pts)
4. Gervase (8 pts)
5. Ciera (0 pts)

JeffCo Cartel: 17.5 pts1. Aras (8 pts)
2. Rupert (0 pts)
3. Marissa (1.5 pts)
4. Caleb (0 pts)
5. Laura M. (8 pts)

Moon & Melissa: 16 pts
1. Vytas (0 pts)
2. Tyson (8 pts)
3. Monica (8 pts)
4. Brad (0 pts)
5. Rachel (0 pts)

red = n00b tribe
blue = returning tribe
pink = on Redemption Island

Power Rankings:

Complete Dreckitude: ahhhhFUCKthat - AndBag's team went from bad to worse when the target shifted to John this week. I really don't have anything positive to say about this team. Would enjoy watching a John v. Candice Redemption Island show-down though! I imagine a lot of crying, possibly during the challenge istelf.

Repellant: JeffCo Cartel - Losing Rupert was a foregone conclusion, but Marissa's toughness at Redemption Island was a pleasant surprise. I hope she sticks around for a while - keep that rage a'smoldering, Marissa! Aras is definitely coming across as tribe leader, too, which for a genial man like him is a good thing. Definitely a step in the right direction this week for Doug & Bri, though they still have a long way to go to have a "good team."

Terrrrr: MooMe - Losing Rachel is a blow, especially if Tyson decides to swap places. Then they're both in danger, and lucky Laura B. gets a promotion from the dangerous "newest on the tribe" position. Vytas is playing a crafty game for sure, and Brad & Monica are doing okay... probably this them playing at their highest potential, so you have to be satisfied with that.

Least Horrible: Mind Under Matter - I'm the only person with 5 players still in the game (aka not on Redemption Island), which is surprising. Katie, Hayden & Tina all performed decently, and Kat is playing exactly the role I wanted her to... which doesn't include performing well. So, I'd say this is currently the least horrible team, although only by the slightest of margins.

Douche of the Week:

My heart wants to vote for Brad again, but Colton was really obnoxious beyond compare, so I gotta go with Colton this week.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Blood v. Water: Draft & Episode 1

Survivor returns with a couple of fun twists & another enthusiastic group for the pool! During our dinner at Murphy's we celebrated Doug & Bri's victory from last season with delicious food, seasonal beer, and the next iteration of the Survivor trophy. Alas, I don't have a photo of it, but I can assure you that it is bigger, even more ninja-y, and chock full of special effects!

The Rules:

For a full list of rules, check the spreadsheet linked on the right. New rules include changes to hidden immunity idol points, penalties for voting against loved ones, and a bounty system for Redemption Island challenges. Mostly we're just tweaking & clarifying these days, though, nothing major.

Last Season's Side Bets:

Last season we had a few side bets & it's time for Bag to pay up. I won the toothpaste bet & a Malcolm hook-up bet while Moon won the med-evac bet. I don't remember what these bets were actually for, but I think that Bag owes each of us a 6-pack. What do y'all think?

The Teams:

Michal "Mind Under Matter": 9 points
1. Katie (0 pts)
2. Hayden (0 pts)
3. Colton (3 pts)
4. Kat (3 pts)
5. Tina (3 pts)

AndBag: 6 pts
1. John  (0 pts)
2. Laura B. (3 pts)
3. Candice (0 pts)
4. Gervase (3 pts)
5. Ciera (0 pts)

Moon & Melissa: 6 pts
1. Vytas (0 pts)
2. Tyson (3 pts)
3. Monica (3 pts)
4. Brad (0 pts)
5. Rachel (0 pts)

JeffCo Cartel: 6 pts
1. Aras (3 pts)
2. Rupert (0 pts)
3. Marissa (0 pts)
4. Caleb (0 pts)
5. Laura M. (3 pts)

red = n00b tribe
blue = returning tribe
lavender = on Redemption Island

Power Rankings:

This season the producers didn't bring back fan favorites. Instead, they brought back some of the least liked & non-memorable castaways from seasons past. It's going to give this season's pool an interesting twist. Most everyone doesn't like their team, and for good reason! To embrace this season of hate, I'm switching up the power rankings; no one will get a #1 ranking until their team really deserves it. (A lot of fat needs to be trimmed before this will be possible.)

Complete Dreckitude: JeffCo Cartel - with two players already on Redemption Island, Doug & Bri are the front-runners for suckiness so far. Rupert to me was clearly a bad pick. Yes he was awesome on his first 1.5 seasons, but the last 1.5 seasons he was not strong & now he's completely checked out. Aras & Caleb are the highlights of this team, though Aras will have a big target on his back since he's won before. Laura is still an unknown... as in I literally don't remember her from any previous seasons. Still, JeffCo Cartel started weak last season too, so we can never count them out!

Repellant: AndBag - John may be the favorite to win the whole season at this point. It's nice to have a counterpoint to Brad on the n00b tribe. John is smart, athletic, and seems to have both morals & ethics. Candice, Gervase & Laura B. are going to drag this team down, though, costing AndBag points in the long-term. Ciera came across as the strongest n00b female and I think she could do well.

Terrrrr: Mind Under Matter - Tina & Hayden proved more impressive than expected & Kat met my very low expectations, but I hope she'll still come through by being in a power alliance. Katie & Colton were both huge disappointments -- Katie was supposed to be smart & Colton was supposed to be devious, NOT a cry baby! Hope he switches things up soon.

Least Horrible: Moon & Melissa - they have a sexist moron on their team, and yet they still came out the strongest after this episode. Brad = despicable in every way, but Vytas was impressive & Tyson & Monica seem capable of making waves. They have also proven themselves capable of being duped big-time, though, so it's really too early to call.

Douche of the Week:

No surprise, I'm voting for Brad!

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Fans v. Faves II: Finale

Alas, I don't have time for any reflection or analysis, but I wanted to share the finals scores. The winner is no surprise -- congratulations Doug & Bri!!!

JeffCo Cartel "The Great White Hope": 208 points
1. Erik - 47 pts
2. Eddie - 43 pts
3. Hope - 3 pts
4. Cochran - 112 pts
5. Allie - 3 pts


Moon "the Blindsiders": 155 points
1. Malcolm - 46 pts
2. Andrea - 54 pts
3. Michael - 20 pts
4. Sherri - 33 pts
5. Francesca - 2 pts

Pickett "Jessum's Harem": 142 points
1. Brenda - 45 pts
2. Dawn - 48 pts
3. Laura - 1 pt
4. Corinne - 17 pts
5. Phillip - 31 pts

Bag & Leah "Shamarn't": 86 points
1. Reynold - 47 pts
2. Julia - 6 pts
3. Matt - 6 pts
4. Shamar - 8 pts
5. B. Hantz - 19 pts


p.s. Check out Shamar getting out of the dog house! his -2 score turned into an 8 because he won the DOW competition!