Current Standings:
Sinkers and Floaters: 93 points
4. Spencer (29 points)
J'Tude: 63 points
1. Tony (29 points)
2. Kass (8 points)
Space Cougars: 53 points
3. Cliff (10 points)
WooBrr: 50 points
1. Woo (23 points)
Power Rankings:
1. Sinkers and FloatersAll signs are pointing to Spencer, lucky lucky Spencer, winning this season. He appears to be the only player left capable of winning challenges, he's the most likable (after otherwise-useless Woo), the most strategic, has the best "come-from-behind" story, hasn't really backstabbed anyone, and is smart & eloquent enough to do well in final tribal. Maybe he won't win this final immunity challenge, but even so there's a bigger-than-there-should-be chance that Tony & Kass's infighting will muddy the waters & Spencer will coast through again.
Tony is 100% to blame if he doesn't win this season. He had the whole thing in the bag until he freaked out & voted out Jefra for no reason (kudos to Tasha), and then this last episode was terribly played by him as well. Read on below...
2. J'Tude
Tony knows that he 2 idols he can use for the last time this episode, and his plan to trick everyone into thinking he can use the TP idol for 1 more episode is marginal at best. Even with that still being a part of the plan, I feel like he HAS to give his non-special idol to Trish this episode. He's told everyone he's playing it, so he can feel extremely secure in not getting any votes. Even if he got votes, he still has his TP idol to use so there is literally no risk here! Then he and Trish can coast into the Final 4 & take out Woo, who Tony believes to be his biggest threat. Or he could take out Kass like they were already planning, but he should only do this if he thinks keeping Woo around helps their chances of stopping Spencer from winning this last immunity challenge. He needs to separate his emotions from his game play -- he's been failing at that all season, though, so I guess I shouldn't expect him to suddenly get better about this.
It is extremely obnoxious to me that Tony didn't bother to think this through. He's almost all the way to the end, he has nothing but time on his hands, and a tendency towards paranoia. Why don't you take this opportunity to think out scenarios? Aren't you supposed to be a detective? Did you really not think it was possible that Kass & Spencer would sway Woo to target Trish? Even if you didn't, wouldn't it be worth taking out "too likable" Woo at this point? C'mon man, you need to up your game.
3. WooBrr
Woo is still hanging around, and could end up being a coattail winner this season based on likability & lack of back-stabbing (if Spencer doesn't make the finals). He wouldn't even be the least deserving coattail rider to win. I honestly wouldn't even mind if he won; he's played the game to the best of his ability, and certainly would deserve it more than Trish or Jefra.
4. Space Cougars
Trish is gone & WooBrr is still guaranteed an additional 10 jury points at minimum. With no chance at DoW points and slim to no chance at fan favorite (probably Tasha or Spencer will wrap this one up? I'm not sure!), the Space Cougars should start planning what sort of tier they'd like to add to the Pool Idol.
Douche of the Week:
Tony.
6 comments:
Tony actually voted for Trish, did you see that? I'm not really sure why, and I thought he should have used his idol too. But don't think he hasn't thought it through. Maybe he's thought about it too much, maybe he's paranoid, but Tony always considers all the angles.
Douche of the Week: Kass.
DoW: Tony. Always.
Spencer will beat anyone when he makes it to the Finale. Yes, when.
I bet Woo's impression of Kevin from The Office is amazing.
Tony's approach to slide puzzles sucks. He is the DoW.
Trish is bonier than Leo prowling through an elephant graveyard.
I think Kass has played a really strong strategic game. Some of her moves have been incredibly bold but she also has a deft (manipulative) touch when she needs it. As an underdog on the minority tribe going into the merge she made sure, given the smallest opportunity, that the game would revolve around her.
Spencer played a good game but his fate was out of his hands too many times. He has scraped by through a combination of clever plays, immunity challenges, and poor decisions from others. In short, he's been luckier than Kass. She didn't rely on luck and did a much better job of securing her survival but it came at the cost of getting her hands dirty.
Sadly, she will not win Survivor.
The jury is too full of bitter beauty tribe members. I anticipate them basing their votes off of who didn't screw them over and who they 'liked' which is a shame because a crafty, gutsy, underdog fight like the one Kass has pulled off deserves win.
She really isn't that douchey. Her self confidence seems to rankle people and she does seem a bit smug but the woman is clearly extremely intelligent, by far the most intelligent player on the show this season.
Obviously a trial lawyer is going to thrive on confrontation but I do feel like a majority of the arguments she has been involved in have been created by her playing the game and another player becoming personally upset because their own plans were blown up.
Exhibit A: Spencer's beach tantrum the night after she switched alliances.
Exhibit B: Tony's meltdown after his final 3 plans were revealed to Woo.
Her talking head interviews about these fights are always brutally accurate and show a solid understanding of human psychology.
That said, part of winning Survivor usually involves winning the 'popularity contest' and Kass is sorely lacking in that category. It doesn't seem like she had much in common with many members of the other tribes and her lone wolf style did not help her make friends. I know this is an important aspect of the game and will ultimately doom her chances.
Outwit. Outplay. Outlast.
Kass gets my vote for sole survivor.
DoW: Tony. Sometimes.
<3 Wolf, sadly I don't have time to give a proper response. In Vegas...
The blog assessment on Tony's play this episode was right on. He misused the idols, plain and simple. I also can't figure out why he voted for Trish at the end. He is really banking on his deception that he can still play the special idol next week (which I hope Jeff Probst announces that no immunity idols are still in play and blows Tony up at the tribal). For this, Tony gets my DoW vote.
I think fan favorite might be a race this season. Woo for being Woo. Tony for his shenanigans. Tasha for kicking ass. I don't see Spencer, Trish, or Kass getting this prize though.
I also don't think Spencer has this wrapped up. He has seemed really whiny and abrasive at some points. Other times, he has played great. He certainly has an argument to win, but with this jury I think emotion will play a part. Could be a close one.
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