Survivor Retrospective: Gabon

Rating: 4/10

Short on strategy, stimulation and affection, Gabon was one of the more forgettable chapters of the Survivor canon. It's best remembered as the first HD season of the show, congruent with the pretty cast and exotic locale. Shots of elephants, gorillas and undulating green meadows jumped off the screen; producers would have been wise to devote extra time to the landscape and wildlife in favor of the feeble cast. Gabon also featured perhaps the meanest group in franchise history, a far cry from the compassionate but ruthless casts of the New Era. It's also notable as the season with the oldest winner.

The season puttered along early, with the Fang tribe losing and languishing and season narrator and emotional heroine Sugar getting sent to Exile Island five times in a row. Sugar found the idol planted on Exile quickly, then relaxed each time in the "Sugar Shack" by choosing "comfort" over "clue." She acknowledged her closest ally Ace was a "snake" before turning on him for nerdy but equally serpentine Kenny, then tearfully regretted the move in confessional. 

After a single-vote tribal swap, Susie turned on the stronger Kota tribe to join Kenny and Olympian gold medalist Crystal to dump alpha favorite Marcus. His edit was immaculate, his exit tragic, but he never got another crack at the competition. The Kenny/Crystal/Susie alliance took control of the game, orchestrating the demise of once dominant Kota. The voting intrigue waned, with most of the season's most memorable moments coming courtesy of castaways dunking on each other. Sugar got Bob to give Randy his fake idol for the tribal she voted him out, seemingly just to embarrass the curmudgeon. Corinne said really mean things. Kenny pulled strings like an evil puppeteer before he was caught playing both sides. The good and evil dynamic was accentuated by Sugar's heroic edit and kindly bro Matty's emotional proposal during the loved ones visit. "I might have to go to the end with Bob, and Bob will dominate, but at least good will prevail," Matty announced in one confessional. Sugar turned on Crystal and Kenny cause they bullied him unnecessarily. 

57 year-old Bob won five straight challenges down the stretch. Susie won Final Immunity, with Sugar joining Bob to force a 2-2 tie with Matty. Bob crushed the surfer in firemaking to make the Final; Matty would have won over the Jury if he'd made it. At an abysmal Final Tribal, Corinne the Bitch and Randy the Curmudgeon bullied the finalists, Bob didn't even try to claim strategic acumen and Sugar didn't tell the Jury what they wanted to hear. Despite the sympathetic edit, she received zero votes. Surprisingly, Susie garnered three. While Bob was one of Survivor's least strategic champions, he certainly was likable: he shipped the fan favorite as well.

Survivor Retrospective: Fiji

Rating: 4.5/10

Like most seasons dominated by a runaway victor, Fiji featured a generally insipid cast and little voting intrigue. But its victor didn't run away from the field until Final Tribal, as he battled neck-and-neck with a trusted ally and fellow hero for control throughout the competition. It was this ally's tragic fall that generated the season's only lasting memory.

The Moto tribe won the first eight challenges, several of which provided significant living advantages. But Gary was med-evaced and they opted to trade one of their immunities for comfort, muting their advantage at the Merge. Moto's sharpest player, Alex, recognized Dreamz and Cassandra would flip at the Merge, but was unable to convince his allies to oust them before they consolidated. Dreamz spearheaded a delicious backstabbing of Moto, creating some of the slackest jaws in Tribal Council history in the season's best episode. Alex persisted as long as he could before bowing out in seventh.

Earl served as Ravu's leader and its tour guide, simultaneously bonding the tribe while dissecting it strategically. He formed trusted alliances with Cassandra, Michelle and Moto's Dreamz. But his strongest bond was a feel-good alliance with Yau-Man. These were the season's only strong players - astute, hard-working, uncomplaining, strategic and honorable. They found the idol in the sand, then buried a fake one in its place. The payoff never came cause the rest of the cast was too lackadaisical to hunt for the idol.

With six players left Yau-Man won a truck in a reward challenge, then bartered it to Dreamz in exchange for a promise he'd give him immunity if he won it with four left. Dreamz immediately targeted Yau, who successfully used the idol to stave off elimination. He then won a do-or-die immunity with five left, sending Boo packing. Dreamz then outlasted Yau for what they learned was Final Immunity, with three players going to Final Tribal. He famously reneged on the bargain and Yau was voted out.

Dreamz of course then got zero votes at Final Tribal, as did resumé-less Cassandra for the first shutout in Survivor history. Earl, who'd never seen the show, never won immunity or had his name written down, gracefully rode into the Survivor sunset with the most immaculate record in its history.

Survivor Retrospective: Panama - Exile Island

Rating: 5.5/10

Survivor's 12th chapter was as predictable a season as would ever come, but a strong all-new cast, impactful innovations and enduring storylines buoyed Panama to the median. Its principal gimmick, Exile Island, provided enough intrigue, strategy and character development to persist as a feature for several more seasons. Four of the sixteen castaways would justifiably return for later seasons.

Exile Island's cast began as four tribes divided by age and gender (younger men, older women, etc.), a gimmick that lasted just one episode. (Interestingly, the final four would be comprised of one member of each initial demographic). After the older women lost the first immunity, the tribes were condensed to two using a schoolyard pick. Still, two of the next three exits were older women - leaving season tour guide and the season's most charismatic player, Cirie, as the last remaining older woman. Cirie was the season's most articulate player, its obvious heroine and dramatic center.  Her three subsequent appearances - including two more deep runs - were well-deserved. 

A handful of above-average players accompanied Cirie past the Merge, including scrappy social worker Sally, aw-shucks young writer Austin, unblemished Aras, megababe Danielle, erratically entertaining Shane and one-dimensional fighter pilot Terry, a premier physical player. Casaya entered the Merge up 6-4, an advantage they exploited until only Terry remained. Terry won five straight immunities, all while possessing an overpowered immunity idol that could be played after the vote. Terry never appeared to seriously consider saving a tribemate with his idol, including an opportunity to save Sally and oust Aras.

While the meta strategy was unquestioned, Panama managed to maintain intrigue through the minutiae of Casaya's relationships. Cirie began hopelessly at the bottom, but hung around long enough to forge the tightest bond (with Aras) in a season with few of them. Casaya's Bruce was med-evaced with six left. When push finally came to shove for Casaya, they opted for annoying Courtney and Shane before Cirie. "I'm in an alliance with three nutballs," Aras had earlier lamented. He broke that alliance for Cirie, but it wasn't enough: Danielle and Terry voted for her with four left, forcing a firemaking tiebreaker that Danielle won to pare the field to three. She upset the rival alphas in the climactic final immunity challenged and decided to roll with Aras, succumbing in a 5-2 vote. He wasn't the show's most engaging champion, but wasn't particularly objectionable either: an average winner for an average season.

Like many early seasons, voting intrigue in Panama wasn't its primary diversion. The physical elements were fierce: brutal storms, flooded camps, starvation, the solitude of Exile Island, Bruce's digestive discomfort. The solemnity of the karate blackbelt's evacuation was underscored and undermined by a naked Shane helping to carry the stretcher out. Most of all, Panama managed to get intelligent, interesting and attractive people on the screen - a simple recipe too often forgotten in Survivor's annals.

Survivor Retrospective: Guatemala

Rating: 2/10

Guatemala was one of the worst seasons in Survivor history. Casting continued its inexplicable fixation on mundane rednecks, failing to locate a single compelling castaway. The location's oppressive heat and mosquitoes debilitated its inhabitants. The champion appeared to be a worthy winner, but her confessionals were too discreet to confirm any acumen. Guatemala did hatch the franchise's greatest twist - the hidden immunity idol - but producers hadn't yet figured out how to cinematize it. Ultimately the season had no dramatic nucleus; it was just a string of episodes featuring undeveloped characters culminating in one of them winning a million bucks.

Bobby Jon and Stephenie came straight from previous season Palau to Guatemala, though a filming delay between the seasons meant the new cast was aware of their exploits. Neither returning player received as heroic an edit, with Bobby Jon navigating to the Merge and Stephenie all the way to Final Tribal. Steph led the season in screentime, the closest approximation to a Guatemala tour guide. The season's most interesting confessionals came courtesy of excitable Brian, but he was voted out before the Merge. Former NFL quarterback Gary Hogeboom provided some tenacity and some intrigue in hiding his celebrity, quickly amplified when sports radio host Danni recognized him. The only other player worthy of screentime and capable of hanging with cerebral modern players was third-place Rafe, but his edit felt muted. None of them ever got real tour guide treatment; Stephenie was supposed to be the star, but she grew wearisome to her fellow castaways and the audience.

In lieu of true heroes and villains, Guatemala gave us boorish Judd and mean Jamie. Judd flipped on his original tribe, which lasted just three eliminations before a disorienting swap. Judd aligned with Steph, Jamie, Rafe, Lydia and Cindy to form a solid alliance with a perplexing, under-analyzed mix of personalities. The alliance held staunch until turning on Jamie for his paranoia and cruelty. 

But the last of the other tribe, Danni, slipped through the cracks. She survived the Jamie vote, then spent all her auction money on an advantage that helped her win a must-win immunity. With five left, Cindy won a car in a challenge. She was given an option to give the other four cars instead, but shockingly, selfishly chose her own car. It wasn't free after all, but adorned with an Iron Price sticker revealed at the next Tribal. Like most of the cast, it was unclear why Cindy was chosen to be on the show in the first place. Rafe won four immunities, but faltered in the final endurance challenge. Victorious Danni took Steph to Final Tribal and defeated her in a 6-1 vote.

Guatemala is most remembered for introducing the Hidden Immunity Idol upon the Merge. But Guatemala couldn't even get that twist right. In its first iteration, castaways had to reveal the Idol before voting. Gary did at one Tribal, surprising everyone including the audience: the edit elected not to show his discovery of the idol for climactic shock value. But that simply meant the dominant alliance had to vote out Bobby Jon first and tackle Gary a couple votes later.

The Idol may be Guatemala's most memorable aspect, but the hardheaded casting probably should be. It was literally all white people. Few of them were capable of innovative thinking, fewer of articulating it. Sickeningly, a "previously on" referred to the Nakúm tribe as "celebrating their diversity." After 41 and 42, Guatemala makes for a distressing watch: as aesthetically monochrome as its cast was, it displayed even less mental diversity.

Survivor Retrospective: Vanuatu

Rating: 4.5/10

It's funny to look back on Vanuatu in the context of the new school strategic warfare of Winners at War, 41 and 42. Whereas those entertaining, unpredictable seasons were filled with diverse, likable and mentally competitive characters, Vanuatu was stocked with sluggish rednecks. Whether it was lazy casting or a misguided allegiance to Average Joe, Vanuatu begged the question more than other season: Why cast dumb and boring folks when you could choose smart and interesting players? Generally dismissed as one of Survivor's weakest seasons, Vanuatu and its winner have been misremembered as doltish. The ninth season's endgame was actually quite cunning and its champion may be the most underrated in franchise history.

Vanuatu's theme was a repeat of the gendered tribal division pioneered in The Amazon. The men appeared fairly unified, but voting revealed a split between a stronger, younger faction and a crew of old rednecks. Drill sergeant Lea "Sarge" was the edit's swing vote, and he went with the 'necks. The men voted off some of their strongest players, including hunky FBI agent Brady. With shots of blazing volcanoes, an actual earthquake and a number of bodacious babes, prehistoric Vanuatu hankered for HD.

Little else of note took place until a tribal swap, flinging confessional favorite Rory behind enemy lines. Rory wriggled out of an all-female jam, but relations with female Queen Ami soured and she targeted him first after the merge. Road worker Twila and future Jeff Probst girlfriend Julie, who'd made inroads with the men in their swap, shocked them by rejoining the women to oust Rory in a straight gender line vote. Ami won that battle as well as the right to be Vanuatu's only returning player; Rory and the eventual champion are still waiting for casting's call.

Sarge then busted, with savvy Ohio road builder Chris joining the women and covering his tracks with a lie Sarge asked him to vote him out. Respected amputee Chad went next, leaving Chris as the last man standing along with six women. But Chris wasn't the target; it was gabby law student Eliza. Twila and her ally Scout pulled off a stunning flip when they joined Chris and Eliza to oust LeAnn. Season star Ami was toppled next, leaving an uninspiring but shrewd final five. 

Left for dead just two votes before, Chris rebounded to power as the swing vote between Twila/Scout and Eliza/Julie. He opted to go with the older rural ladies, betraying his friend Julie but later regaining her vote with a doleful apology at Final Tribal. Chris, who'd pathetically lost the first challenge for the men, won the last two individual immunities and chose caustic Twila as his opponent. The Final Tribal combatants had a lot in common: both were highway construction workers from the Midwest, keen, cagey and hellbent on the million bucks. Chris pulled off his betrayals with more tact and compassion and orated more profoundly at Final Tribal, though Twila's plaintive performance was also compelling. It was a scintillating Final Tribal, followed by Jeff Probst's most ludicrous journey to the studio. Chris won 5-2.

Chris has wrongly been remembered as an undeserving champion - or perhaps just the least feeble castaway of an underwhelming season. In fact, Chris craftily navigated a handful of dynamic social situations that would have slain weaker or prouder players. His confessionals displayed unwavering Hatch-like acumen and purpose from day one. His gameplay was airtight. He grew physically and mentally stronger as the game progressed. He forged relationships, capitalized on and betrayed them when necessary and regained their votes at Final Tribal. While the stratagems of Vanuatu don't hold a candle to the modern game, Chris's camouflaged cunning would keep him in contention for any Survivor season.

Survivor Retrospective: Blood vs. Water

Rating: 4.5/10

Blood vs. Water was the rare Survivor season where the cast failed to live up to the promise of the theme. Blood vs. Water cleverly pitted a tribe of ten returning players against a tribe of ten new players - each a family member of one of the returning players. Circumstances developed just as producers hoped, with alliances forming along and against bloodlines, culminating in the coveted moment of one family member voting another out. But the largely insipid cast didn't provide the strategy or articulation necessary to reinforce the drama.

Blood vs. Water rehashed the double elimination of Redemption Island, a secondary gimmick that raised the excitement of initial challenges but drained screentime allotted to plotting. The season began annoyingly, with a player from each tribe instantly voted off. Blood ousted Rupert's wife Laura while the returnees dumped undeserving three-timer Candice. Loved ones had the option to step in for their partners on Redemption Island, an opportunity Rupert gallantly and foolishly took. He lost the first Redemption Challenge and packed his bags, with wallflower Laura drawing dead at the title.

Blood quickly dispatched Tyson's partner Rachel in an effort to target the third-timer. The couple elected to keep her on Redemption instead of subbing Tyson for the reason the Bonehams should have - the partner's chances of winning the game were higher. Returning players won the first four immunities. Their first casualty was Colton the quitter, who received an uncharacteristic lambasting from Jeff Probst on his way out. Villainous Brad Culpepper emerged as Blood's de facto leader before Colton's boyfriend Caleb slit his throat in the best moment of the early game. Blood's only watchable players were Vytas (brother of former champ Aras), Big Brother champion Hayden (boyfriend of Kat) and Ciera, who'd ultimately vote out her challenge beast mother Laura.

A pre-merge swap tossed Vytas overboard behind enemy lines without a parachute, but he was
able to charm his way out of the jam. Three pairs made the merge - Vytas and Aras, Australia champion Tina and her daughter Katie, and Laura and Ciera. An alliance of singles formed, ousting the brothers before Ciera's matricide. Every eliminated player told the goats Tyson would win, but they kept hauling his bags. He found an idol and managed to keep it under wraps before wasting it - then found the replacement and kept it secret too. Hayden was supposed to go to Redemption with six left, but desperately convinced Ciera to break from the bottom of her alliance. She took a huge swing and deadlocked the vote, subjecting herself to a rock draw with Katie and Tyson. Katie lost the draw and lost a Redemption challenge to her mother soon after. Tina upset Laura in the final Redemption Challenge to return to the game, but was immediately eliminated by the core alliance of Gervase, Monica and Tyson.

Every jury member (and their mothers) told Gervase and Monica they were goats, but they stuck with him due to erroneous self-perception and Tyson's willingness to let them choose vote-outs when he didn't have a strong preference. We never found out if Gervase or Monica had the stones to topple Tyson before Final Tribal, as the Utahn won the last two immunities. Monica got one vote, Gervase zero. For a third straight season, an acerbic white male returnee won in dominant fashion.

Survivor Retrospective: Caramoan - Fans vs. Favorites

Rating: 5.5/10

Caramoan left a good taste in your mouth, ending with a unanimous victory by a charismatic, dynamic and deserving competitor. It was one of those Survivor seasons that was more appreciable for the blueprint laid down by its champion than spirited endgame contention between multiple foes. 

Caramoan repeated the fans vs. favorites gimmick that sired an extremely entertaining season in its first iteration. Unfortunately, Caramoan's fan tribe let the season down. Its "Alliance of the Weak" immediately offed two strong women before the team oaf was med-evaced. Then the physically overmatched fans turned on their strategic leader Laura cause she wasn't helping them win challenges. Team tour guide Reynold used his idol unnecessarily, but found it again the next day. 

Meanwhile, undeserving favorite Brandon Hantz went off the deep end and dumped out the tribe's rice and beans, forcing them to forfeit the next challenge to get rid of him. A tribal swap failed to deepen the intrigue, as the favorites wound up with 4-3 advantages on both new tribes and played out their numbers. 

The season's only real strategic drama came in the aftermath of the Merge. Favorites Malcolm and Corinne saw some early writing on the wall and attempted to ally with fans to upend the pecking order. But the favorites sniffed it out and served Corinne a delicious blindside. Then they targeted Malcolm, though it took three episodes of idol shenanigans before the nail was buried in his coffin. He spent $480 on an idol clue at the auction but could not find it to save his life.

Aggressive and scrappy Reynold went next, followed by an epic preemptive blindside of idol-owning Andrea. Brenda gave up a challenge reward with her dad so four others could enjoy it with their loved ones. Then she deliberately lost an immunity challenge to mitigate Dawn's paranoia, but none of that stopped them from slitting her throat with six left. Brenda's tearful execution cleared the path for Cochran, who won Final Immunity and casually iced two hopeless orators at Final Tribal. It was one of the most dominant and satisfying performances in Survivor history.

Survivor 41: The Midgame

 

Since I started teaching, my school has had several administrators. Each one has made their own changes, instituting different systems, schedules and procedures. They've all been wonderfully communicative, frequently checking in with teachers to see how their changes are affecting life in the classroom. In my experience, none of these procedural changes have had much effect. One variable above all affects the yearly experience for a teacher: the students.

Survivor is the same. The show has gone through a thousand iterations. Every year there's a new gimmick, a surprise twist, unexpected timing, x-factors, new variables introduced out of nowhere. Each season's nuances have more impact on the castaways than the audience. What really affects the audience's enjoyment of the show is the castaways. When Mark Burnett and company cast intelligent, articulate and aggressive players, the show is more exciting.

41 has so many twists and gimmicks it's hard to keep them straight. Seemingly every week some new bomb gets dropped simultaneously on the castaways and audience. Many of these twists are retreads from previous seasons, while several brand new innovations have stirred the pot as well. For the first time, 41 isn't shown completely chronologically: producers are strategically using flashbacks to reveal key moves whenever they feel drama will be intensified most. I think this would be a fun season to watch meticulously, to pore over, discuss and rewatch. All sorts of brilliant little moves, subtle interactions and missed opportunities might emerge. Perhaps I'll rewatch some day and digest them. There have really been too many twists to evaluate. But I do know this is a good Survivor season, because the cast is terrific. 

The first castaways to fall are usually those with physical or personality flaws too severe to overcome - disqualifying defects that make them unfit for the intense strain Survivor places on its combatants. This season's initial exits appeared simply to be wrong place/wrong time scenarios: Eric, Sara, David and Brad. A handful of truly intrepid players have since fallen, players with the spirit and gumption to win the game if the chips had scattered differently: JD, Naseer, Evvie and Shan. You can question whether each of these players could have applied a little more finesse, but not their guile and guts. These are players who could have absolutely dominated if they'd washed ashore on a different season. I'd love to see each of them get another bite at the apple.

The group we're left with is actually a little under-representative of the acute cunning and determination that's defined the season. Xander is an overtly awesome player, persecuted for his awesomeness from day one but shrewd enough to navigate his way to the final seven with an idol intact. His athleticism, looks and competitiveness reminisce the likes of Malcolm and Joe, but 20 year-old Xander may actually possess more acuity than those veterans ever obtained. Xander has an opportunity to enshrine himself in the Survivor pantheon with an effective endgame. 

Deshawn is a powerful social player, capable of charming anyone into an alliance while maintaining a rigid allegiance to the man in the mirror. Should he slither his way to Final Tribal, the question for Deshawn will be whether the Jury views his backstabbings as belt notches or unnecessary emotional scarrings. Shan blasting him as a "snake" on her way out does not bode well for Deshawn's Jury prospects.

Liana has toed the line between authentic loyalty and dispassionate decapitations. Her confessionals reveal a thoughtful young mind grappling with the game's contradictions, particularly the dueling desires to forge meaningful relationships and win the game. Shan was Liana's most intimate ally, so recovering from her dismissal will be challenging. But Liana has displayed impressive resiliency throughout and now sees the finish line within spitting distance. 

Danny is a rather likable athlete, with straightforward ethos and intentions. His kindness and humility mask driven, discreet and attentive game play. Danny has quietly resided at the center of the game throughout, comfortably participating in and contributing to alliances without displaying the prerogative that got Shan and Evvie ousted. His morality is strong yet flexible to the pressures of Survivor. He'd be one of the game's most humble, understated champions.

Ricard is the last castaway standing from the ill-fated Ua tribe that garnered most of the early season screentime. Outlasting Shan was a major upset for the flight attendant, as she held an idol, advantage and alliance at the Merge that he did not. Ricard's social play has been edgy but impeccable. He's timed his moves perfectly, riding one wave after another then exiting right before termination at the shoreline. Though Shan was his primary Ua ally, Ricard managed to deftly pivot through the jumpy, fractured post-merge waters and preemptively cut her throat. His interactions tend to leave his competitors and audience with a sheen of slime, but a Jury may forgive his transgressions as necessary. Shan did.

Erika had to put her head down, swallow any bit of pride she had, bite her tongue and grind to get this far. Over the years, many players have fallen behind the 8-ball early and employed this approach. But most became so committed to the bit they lost sight of the end goal - crafting a resumé superior to other Final Tribalists. It appeared Erika was destined for this meek fate until the last episode, when she finally emerged from a cocoon of submission to shove a stick in the spokes of the African-American Alliance. Coattail-riding may have been a necessary technique for Erika to win this season of Survivor rather than a default strategy.

The only real coattail-rider here is Heather, and she knows it. There's probably not a scenario in which she can win. Still, Heather should be lauded for persisting this long in a hypercompetitive season.

Power Rankings

Updating the points as we progress has proven too grave a responsibility for me this season. I am eternally grateful to Doug for all the accounting he has done on this pool and others over the years. For the purpose of these power rankings, I am going to guesstimate how many points the castaways may be sitting on and evaluate accordingly.

 

5. Michal

2. Shan

9. Danny

13. Sydney

18. JD

25. Erika

26. Brad

Rough season for the Pickle, whose players edged too far to the poles in their ferocity. Shan and JD played with a little too much intensity, while Brad and Sydney could have used a little more. It remains to be seen if Danny and Erika played too passively or just right.

 

4. Eric

3. Evvie

8. Naseer

12. JD

19. Xander

23. Erika

28. Genie

Eric's top three picks failed to make the final eight, essentially eliminating him from contention. He found a couple diamonds in the late rough, but double-drafting means other teams with more accrued points have those players too. Without counting the points, it's hard to envision Xander and Erika scoring enough points to make up for the ground Eric's early picks lost.

 

3. Doug

4. Deshawn

7. Naseer

15. Liana

16. Sydney

22. Genie

29. Heather

The question for Doug is whether Shan's dismissal will drive a wedge between Deshawn and Liana or pave a road for them to Final Tribal. Doug's margin for error has shrunk because one squad has more players left.

2. Phil

5. Shan

6. Deshawn

11. Ricard

20. Tiffany

21. Xander

30. Tiffany 

Phil has three ruthless competitors who will stop at nothing to realize lifetime goals of being crowned Sole Survivor. He held the lead last time we checked. The only reason I haven't ranked Phil first is he has one fewer player than us.

 

1. Melissa & Tom

1. Evvie

10. Ricard

14. Danny 

17. Liana

24. Brad

27. Heather

Nothing special about our four remaining players other than them outnumbering the other remaining teams. Ranking our team first isn't trash talk. I imagine it's close between the top three teams and just gave us the numbers nod. I'm excited to see how it all shakes out. I really have no idea who's going to win this Survivor (pool).

Survivor 41: The Pool Returns

Survivor has blissfully returned to our lives after a Covid-caused year in hiatus. Producers spent the year Zooming up tinkers and twists to a product that's proved potent for forty seasons. The new season feels simultaneously exciting, intriguing and disorienting. The longstanding 39-day grind has been reduced to 26 days, supply stashes have been cut, several new gimmicks have entered the fray and the cast has been loaded with strategic-minded players. The result is frenzy.

 

The Draft

 

 

The draft went down without many shocking picks. Drafters appeared to be on approximately the same page, with power players Evvie, Shan and Deshawn immediately, doubly snapped up. Naseer went next, back-to-back, followed by Danny and Ricard. Those who got fancy with other castaways (Eric - JD and Michal - Sydney) are already paying the price. The back half of the draft was filled with appealing but troubled players like Xander, Erika and Genie. Phil was the only drafter to double up on a player, tabbing crusty Tiffany twice.

Power Rankings

5. Michal – 13 points

2	Shan	2	13
9	Danny	7
13	Sydney	6
18	JD	-2
25	Erika	5
26	Brad	-5

Pickle is in a real pickle early on. Shan might be the favorite and there’s a lot to like about Danny, but Pickett’s other castaways already find themselves circling the drain. Sydney’s too haughty to win, Erika waited too long to start forming friendships and Brad and JD are already out. Some of these players may make deep runs, one may even win, but it’s hard to envision the group scoring enough points to dig Michal out of this early hole.

 

4. Eric – 24 points

3	Evvie	7	24
8	Naseer	6
12	JD	-2
19	Xander	7
23	Erika	5
28	Genie	1

 

It’s a new season with new players and new gimmicks, but Big Eric finds himself in a familiar position: behind the leaders with little hope of catching them. The common thread Eric’s players share is overzealousness. JD is gone because he played too hard. Xander and Naseer are catching heat from every direction because of it. Erika signed her own death warrant when she decided to start making moves. Eric’s only possible exceptions are Evvie – who might have enough grace and awareness to mask her fervor – and hopeless Genie.

3. Melissa & Tom – 23 points

1	Evvie	7	23
10	Ricard	2
14	Danny	7
17	Liana	7
24	Brad	-5
27	Heather	5

Brad’s quick hook put us behind the 8-ball. That -5 grenade is going to be hard to overcome, because nobody on this team beyond Danny figures to earn many challenge points. Evvie has all the trappings of a future champion, but the rest of our crew doesn’t inspire confidence. Ricard’s alliance with Shan puts him in danger, whether it’s from opposing forces seeking to tear them apart or Shan herself. Danny seems like a strong player, but folding his competitive morals to Deshawn revealed a disappointing subservient side. Liana hasn’t made much impression, which is still better than Heather’s only impression so far: a pitiful challenge fail.

 

2. Doug – 32 points

4	Deshawn	7	32
7	Naseer	6
15	Liana	7
16	Sydney	6
22	Genie	1
29	Heather	5

Doug is out of the blocks quickly, but has to be concerned his legs might fail him down the stretch. The bottom half of his team is lousy: Sydney, Genie and Heather. None of these players can win; the question is whether they hang around long enough to earn a few points. Deshawn and Naseer are both playing really hard – probably too hard, or at least too conspicuously. Any conspicuousness out of Liana would be appreciated; she’s been more of a rumor than a player so far.

 

1. Phil – 32 points

5	Shan	2	32
6	Deshawn	7
11	Ricard	2
20	Tiffany	7
21	Xander	7
30	Tiffany	7

This is the only team that takes effort to criticize. One of 41’s strongest features is the general aggression of its cast, and Phil has the most aggressive team. Phil’s fate rests on two pillars: the Shan/Ricard alliance and Tiffany. If those players persist, Phil will be hard to beat, as Deshawn and Xander could also garner lots of points. Having all these players grappling in the heart of the battle is going to give Phil a lot of week-to-week anxiety, but it could also be the route to his first victory.